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Viimsi MRJK vs Vastseliina Tannem

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viimsi MRJK play Vastseliina Tannem in the Estonian Cup 2015/2016. Viimsi MRJK are favorites here. Recently, Viimsi MRJK averaged 2.44 goals scored and 3.22 conceded. Vastseliina Tannem averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3.75 conceded. In past meetings, Viimsi MRJK won 1, Vastseliina Tannem won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 8, 2015 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.19 for Viimsi MRJK and 1.63 for Vastseliina Tannem. This points to a Viimsi MRJK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Viimsi MRJK
15%
Draws
29%
Vastseliina Tannem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Viimsi MRJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Viimsi MRJK picked up more points recently compared to Vastseliina Tannem.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.19 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Viimsi MRJK Clean Sheet 14%
Vastseliina Tannem Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viimsi MRJK Vastseliina Tannem
Matches Played 9 24
Wins 5 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.44 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.22 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2015 Estonian Cup
Viimsi MRJK vs Vastseliina Tannem
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viimsi MRJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tanna O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Vastseliina Tannem Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viimsi MRJK 53 / 100
Vastseliina Tannem 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viimsi MRJK Vastseliina Tannem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viimsi MRJK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Viimsi MRJK & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.1%
1.19
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Viimsi MRJK attacking → ← attacking Vastseliina Tannem

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viimsi MRJK scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Vastseliina Tannem let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Viimsi MRJK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vastseliina Tannem lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 27
3.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13