Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Viking vs Sandefjord

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tripic Z.
(Penalty)
45'
Askildsen K.
45'
Melchior M.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Viking and Sandefjord finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Viking.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Viking
30%
Draws
31%
Sandefjord
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Viking

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Viking come out ahead of Sandefjord on wins alone.
  • Sandefjord are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Viking have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Viking Clean Sheet 11%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viking Sandefjord
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.41 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Viking
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 Eliteserien
Viking vs Sandefjord
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Viking
1:2
May 16, 2025 Eliteserien
Viking vs Sandefjord
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 Eliteserien
Viking vs Sandefjord
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viking Compare

Top Goalscorer Austbo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sandefjord Compare

Top Goalscorer Patoulidis E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viking 18 / 100
Sandefjord 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viking Sandefjord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandefjord Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viking found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sandefjord has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Viking went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Viking VS Sandefjord
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Viking

(Home)
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1
Kristiansund
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1
Viking
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Viking
02 Sept
Brodd
1 : 3
Viking
30 Aug
Viking
2 : 1
Aalesund
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Sandefjord

(Away)
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Viking
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0 : 0
Brann
23 Aug
Eidanger
0 : 15
Sandefjord
16 Aug
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 2
Sandefjord
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 20 16 2 2 52:17 50
2 Viking 20 15 2 3 51:20 47
3 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
4 Tromso 20 10 5 5 37:27 35
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 20 10 2 8 28:26 32
7 Fredrikstad 20 8 3 9 24:31 27
8 Brann 20 8 2 10 37:31 26
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Ham-Kam 20 6 5 9 27:41 23
12 Valerenga 20 6 4 10 33:42 22
13 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
14 Sandefjord 20 5 5 10 18:27 20
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 20 4 4 12 22:41 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)