Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Viking vs Sarpsborg 08

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viking host Sarpsborg 08 in the Eliteserien. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sarpsborg 08 have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Viking have conceded 1 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Sarpsborg 08 slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.13) back Viking to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Viking
39%
Draws
31%
Sarpsborg 08
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Viking carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Viking Clean Sheet 20%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viking Sarpsborg 08
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 22 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Viking vs Sarpsborg 08
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking
3:3
Jul 9, 2025 NM Cup
Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking
1:0
May 4, 2025 Eliteserien
Viking vs Sarpsborg 08
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viking 31 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viking Sarpsborg 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viking found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Sarpsborg 08 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Viking stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Viking VS Sarpsborg 08
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Viking

(Home)
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1
Viking
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1
Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Viking
03 Jul
Sonderjyske
1 : 1
Viking
Page 1 of 6

Sarpsborg 08

(Away)
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
18 Jul
Kristiansund
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Viking
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
29 May
Brann
1 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)