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Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Víkingsvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Hafsteinsson D.
Assist: Hauksson S.
29' Event
Thorkelsson R.
Assist: Gudjonsson H.
31' Event
Thordarson S.
Assist: Ingimundarson V.

AI Match Summary

Vikingur Reykjavik in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vikingur Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vikingur Reykjavik
30%
Draws
23%
Keflavik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vikingur Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Keflavik haven't matched Vikingur Reykjavik's recent run of results.
  • Vikingur Reykjavik are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vikingur Reykjavik have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 68%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.37 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
4:1
Jul 24, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
5:1
May 3, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:3
Jul 8, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
3:3
May 4, 2023 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Thordarson S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hafsteinsson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghoul M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vikingur Reykjavik 77 / 100
Keflavik 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vikingur Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vikingur Reykjavik found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Keflavik let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vikingur Reykjavik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vikingur Reykjavik VS Keflavik
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vikingur Reykjavik

(Home)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
27 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
3 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
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Keflavik

(Away)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 24 18 5 1 73:23 59
2 KR Reykjavik 24 14 5 5 80:52 47
3 Fram 24 13 7 4 59:47 46
4 Breidablik 24 9 6 9 47:46 33
5 Akranes 24 9 6 9 44:47 33
6 Keflavik 24 8 5 11 36:44 29
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
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Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)