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Conference League Sarpugerði

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vikingur host Stjarnan in the Conference League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Stjarnan have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Vikingur have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Stjarnan slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.63) point toward Stjarnan. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Vikingur

39%

Draws

31%

Stjarnan

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Stjarnan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vikingur.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
Cup tournament structure in Conference League increases high-stakes performance focus.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Vikingur Clean Sheet 14%

Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vikingur	Stjarnan
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	13
Draws	11	5
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	2.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	2
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Conference League

Stjarnan vs Vikingur

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vikingur 30 / 100

Stjarnan 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vikingur Stjarnan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vikingur scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Stjarnan let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vikingur went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Stjarnan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vikingur VS Stjarnan

2.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan3

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia5

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo5

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju1

Linfield0

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana0

FC Astana1

AF Elbasani1

BATE1

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva1

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.0

FC Ballkani0

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar1

Atletic Escaldes2

NSI Runavik1

Hamrun1

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen1

La Fiorita0

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo1

Inter Turku1

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Glentoran1

RFS2

TBD-

Decic0

FK Liepaja1

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori3

Virtus1

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

Mondorf1

Dinamo Tbilisi2

Petrovac1

Zalgiris3

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar1

Milsami1

Vikingur1

Stjarnan3

Differdange0

Ilves0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk0

Sileks1

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma1

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert1

Yelimay Semey1

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond1

Zira FK3

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

TBD-

Vaduz-

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

HJK-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

TBD-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Vikingur vs Stjarnan

Europe

Vikingur

Stjarnan

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Prediction Engine Forecast

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Tournament Bracket & Draw