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Vikingur vs Toftir

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands

Faroe Islands Cup 2025 Sarpugerði
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vikingur play Toftir in the Faroe Islands Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vikingur averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1 conceded. Toftir averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Vikingur won 3, Toftir won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Vikingur and 1.06 for Toftir. This points to a Vikingur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vikingur
35%
Draws
18%
Toftir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vikingur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Vikingur picked up more points recently compared to Toftir.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Vikingur Clean Sheet 22%
Toftir Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vikingur Toftir
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.87 1.3
Goals Conceded 1 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Vikingur vs Toftir
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Toftir vs Vikingur
2:2
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Vikingur vs Toftir
2:1
Jun 17, 2025 Faroe Islands Cup
Vikingur vs Toftir
2:0
May 21, 2025 Faroe Islands Cup
Toftir vs Vikingur
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vikingur Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardarson O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kallsberg P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Toftir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vikingur 47 / 100
Toftir 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vikingur Toftir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vikingur or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vikingur attacking → ← attacking Toftir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vikingur scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Toftir let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vikingur went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Toftir lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 24
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75