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Vila Mea vs Santa Marta Penaguiao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vila Mea in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Mea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vila Mea
39%
Draws
31%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vila Mea lately — more wins on the board than Santa Marta Penaguiao.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea Santa Marta Penaguiao
Matches Played 38 27
Wins 12 6
Draws 17 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vila Mea vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
0:0
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Vila Mea
0:0
Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
4:2
Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Vila Mea
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 41 / 100
Santa Marta Penaguiao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea Santa Marta Penaguiao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vila Mea scored in 74% of their last 38 outings.

Santa Marta Penaguiao let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Vila Mea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes18123323:939
2Sao Martinho18115229:1038
3Tirsense1897217:834
4SC Mirandela18103521:1633
5Amarante FC1886433:2130
6Vila Mea1873822:2024
7SC Vila Real1845921:3617
8Santa Marta Penaguiao18431115:3315
9Berco18341116:2713
10Macedo de Cavaleiros18131410:276