Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vila Mea vs Santa Marta Penaguiao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between Vila Mea and Santa Marta Penaguiao finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vila Mea
39%
Draws
31%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Mea come out ahead of Santa Marta Penaguiao on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea Santa Marta Penaguiao
Matches Played 37 27
Wins 12 6
Draws 16 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vila Mea vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
0:0
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Vila Mea
0:0
Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
4:2
Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Vila Mea
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 41 / 100
Santa Marta Penaguiao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea Santa Marta Penaguiao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vila Mea scored in 76% of their last 37 outings.

Santa Marta Penaguiao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vila Mea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%