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Vila Nova FC U20 vs Aparecidense U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Goiano U20
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Delfino M.

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC U20 in this Goiano U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Nova FC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vila Nova FC U20
15%
Draws
51%
Aparecidense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aparecidense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC U20 have won more games recently than Aparecidense U20.
  • Win probability leans Vila Nova FC U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Goiano U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vila Nova FC U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vila Nova FC U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Aparecidense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC U20 Aparecidense U20
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.73 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Goiano U20
Vila Nova FC U20 vs Aparecidense U20
1:0
May 3, 2025 Goiano U20
Vila Nova FC U20 vs Aparecidense U20
1:1
Apr 26, 2024 Goiano U20
Aparecidense U20 vs Vila Nova FC U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Delfino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aparecidense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC U20 77 / 100
Aparecidense U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC U20 Aparecidense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova FC U20's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Aparecidense U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Away concern: Aparecidense U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC U20 VS Aparecidense U20
2.13 Goals Scored 0.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC U20

(Home)
13 Jun
Vila Nova FC U20
1 : 4
Atletico GO U20
06 Jun
Atletico GO U20
3 : 2
Vila Nova FC U20
31 May
Vila Nova FC U20
4 : 2
Goiania U20
27 May
Sport Recife U20
5 : 2
Vila Nova FC U20
23 May
Goiania U20
2 : 2
Vila Nova FC U20
Page 1 of 7

Aparecidense U20

(Away)
26 May
Inhumas U20
0 : 1
Aparecidense U20
20 May
Aparecidense U20
2 : 1
Inhumas U20
16 May
Aparecidense U20
0 : 1
Goias U20
09 May
Cerrado EC U20
4 : 0
Aparecidense U20
02 May
Aparecidense U20
0 : 4
Anapolis U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trindade U20 11 8 3 0 18:5 27
2 Vila Nova FC U20 11 7 2 2 17:7 23
3 Royal U20 11 6 3 2 14:9 21
4 Cerrado EC U20 11 5 5 1 19:10 20
5 Goias U20 11 5 3 3 18:8 18
6 Atletico GO U20 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
7 Goiania U20 11 3 6 2 11:11 15
8 Anapolis U20 11 4 2 5 16:16 14
9 Guanabara City U20 11 3 3 5 11:10 12
10 Inhumas U20 11 2 2 7 11:19 8
11 Aparecidense U20 11 2 0 9 5:27 6
12 Pontalinense U20 11 1 0 10 8:26 3
Promotion - Goiano U20 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Goiano U20 (Relegation - Play Offs)