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Stadium Background

Vila Nova FC vs Criciuma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC host Criciuma in the Serie B. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Vila Nova FC have averaged 1.34 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Criciuma's 0.97 scored and 0.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Criciuma slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 0.63) back Criciuma to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Vila Nova FC
20%
Draws
42%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Criciuma haven't matched Vila Nova FC's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vila Nova FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 20%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC Criciuma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.34 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Criciuma
1:1
Jun 9, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
Aug 23, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
May 12, 2023 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Criciuma
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC 42 / 100
Criciuma 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vila Nova FC scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Vila Nova FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Criciuma has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC VS Criciuma
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC

(Home)
24 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 2
Vila Nova FC
18 Oct
Vila Nova FC
2 : 2
Novorizontino
11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Vila Nova FC
07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0
Cuiaba
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6

Criciuma

(Away)
24 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Criciuma
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Criciuma
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0
America MG
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0
Criciuma
02 Oct
Londrina
0 : 2
Criciuma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 35 18 10 7 62:30 64
2 EC Juventude 35 18 10 7 45:23 64
3 Vila Nova FC 35 18 8 9 50:36 62
4 Fortaleza 35 16 13 6 43:31 61
5 Criciuma 35 17 8 10 36:30 59
6 CRB 35 16 7 12 53:49 55
7 Sport Recife 35 14 12 9 47:38 54
8 Atletico GO 35 14 12 9 42:33 54
9 Goias 35 15 7 13 36:40 52
10 Operario-PR 35 14 9 12 45:46 51
11 Sao Bernardo 35 13 10 12 49:39 49
12 Botafogo SP 35 13 8 14 40:38 47
13 Cuiaba 35 11 14 10 32:28 47
14 Athletic Club 35 10 14 11 40:40 44
15 Nautico 35 11 10 14 39:46 43
16 Ceara 35 11 10 14 37:44 43
17 Avai 35 10 7 18 33:45 37
18 Londrina 35 8 8 19 44:51 32
19 America MG 35 6 5 24 23:54 23
20 Ponte Preta 35 3 6 26 21:76 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)