Sport Picks

Brazil

Goiano 2 2015 Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

Itaberai

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC play Itaberai in the Goiano 2 2015. Vila Nova FC are favorites here. Recently, Vila Nova FC averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Itaberai averaged 0.69 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. In past meetings, Vila Nova FC won 2, Itaberai won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2015 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Vila Nova FC and 1.06 for Itaberai. This points to a Vila Nova FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Vila Nova FC

22%

Draws

17%

Itaberai

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Vila Nova FC picked up more points recently compared to Itaberai.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 22%

Itaberai Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vila Nova FC	Itaberai
Matches Played	31	16
Wins	16	3
Draws	8	2
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.58	0.69
Goals Conceded	0.97	2.19

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2015 Goiano 2

Itaberai vs Vila Nova FC

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:4

Feb 25, 2015 Goiano 2

Vila Nova FC vs Itaberai

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC 59 / 100

Itaberai 17 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vila Nova FC Itaberai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Vila Nova FC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vila Nova FC attacking → ← attacking Itaberai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova FC scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Itaberai let in goals in 94% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vila Nova FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Itaberai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 11

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova FC	8	6	2	0	17:5	20
2	Anapolis	8	4	0	4	14:10	12
3	America GO	8	3	1	4	9:9	10
4	Novo Horizonte	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
5	Itaberai	8	2	0	6	5:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ipora	8	5	1	2	13:6	16
2	Goiania	8	5	1	2	11:9	16
3	Santa Helena	8	3	3	2	9:6	12
4	Rio Verde	8	2	3	3	7:12	9
5	EC Quirinopolis	8	0	2	6	5:12	2