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Vila Nova FC vs Operario MS

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Enzo Bizzotto
30' Event
Jackson
45' Event
Dodo

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC in this Copa Centro-Oeste matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Nova FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vila Nova FC
39%
Draws
31%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Operario MS at 1.17 per game, Vila Nova FC at 1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Centro-Oeste fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vila Nova FC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC Operario MS
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Vila Nova FC vs Operario MS
6:0
Mar 12, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Vila Nova FC vs Operario MS
2:1
Apr 6, 1978 Serie A Betano
Vila Nova FC vs Operario MS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Enzo Bizzotto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jackson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Operario MS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC 41 / 100
Operario MS 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC Operario MS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Vila Nova FC scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Operario MS let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Operario MS has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC VS Operario MS
1 Goals Scored 1.17
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vila Nova FC522110:48
2Rio Branco ES52215:48
3Operario MS52218:108
4Araguaina52126:47
5Capital51316:76
6Primavera AC50236:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama55008:315
2Anapolis53029:39
3Atletico GO52125:57
4Porto Vitoria52127:87
5Tocantinopolis50322:53
6Cuiaba50142:91