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Vila Nova FC vs Operario MS Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Enzo Bizzotto
30' Event
Jackson
45' Event
Dodo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. This leg finished 6-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Vila Nova FC
15%
Draws
32%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario MS haven't matched Vila Nova FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vila Nova FC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Vila Nova FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vila Nova FC, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vila Nova FC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC Operario MS
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.59 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Vila Nova FC vs Operario MS
6:0
Mar 12, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Vila Nova FC vs Operario MS
2:1
Apr 6, 1978 Serie A Betano
Vila Nova FC vs Operario MS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Enzo Bizzotto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jackson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Operario MS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC 86 / 100
Operario MS 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC Operario MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vila Nova FC scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Operario MS let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Vila Nova FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC

(Home)
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0
Vila Nova FC
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Operario MS

(Away)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
2 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Operario MS 5 2 2 1 8:10 8
4 Araguaina 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
5 Capital 5 1 3 1 6:7 6
6 Primavera AC 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 5 5 0 0 8:3 15
2 Anapolis 5 3 0 2 9:3 9
3 Atletico GO 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
4 Porto Vitoria 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 Tocantinopolis 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
6 Cuiaba 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)