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Vila Nova FC W vs Ceara W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC W host Ceara W in the Brasileiro A2 Women. This one's hard to separate. Vila Nova FC W have averaged 0.5 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Ceara W's 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.81, favoring Vila Nova FC W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vila Nova FC W
44%
Draws
20%
Ceara W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC W have won more games recently than Ceara W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Brasileiro A2 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 11%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC W Ceara W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC W 35 / 100
Ceara W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC W Ceara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova FC W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Ceara W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Ceara W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vila Nova FC W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC W VS Ceara W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC W

(Home)
25 Jul
Vasco W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
30 May
Vila Nova FC W
3 : 2
Taubate W
23 May
3B da Amazonia W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
20 May
Itacoatiara W
2 : 1
Vila Nova FC W
16 May
Vila Nova FC W
0 : 2
Atletico-PI W
Page 1 of 6

Ceara W

(Away)
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
23 May
Itacoatiara W
1 : 2
Ceara W
19 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
2 : 1
Ceara W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco W13121046:837
2Itabirito W13111125:634
3Minas Brasilia W13102132:632
4Atletico-PI W1390430:1227
5Acao W1363415:1321
63B da Amazonia W1355316:1020
7Sport Recife W1353513:1418
8Perolas Negras W1345416:1817
9Taubate W1343619:1715
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1342712:2414
11Ceara W1341812:2213
12Doce Mel W1334610:2013
13Paysandu PA W1341811:2513
14Vila Nova FC W1331912:3010
15UD Alagoana W1321109:297
16Itacoatiara W1311119:334
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)