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Vila Nova FC W vs Ceara W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
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Match Events

44' Event
Thaynara

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC W in this Brasileiro A2 Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Nova FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Vila Nova FC W
20%
Draws
48%
Ceara W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceara W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC W have won more games recently than Ceara W.
  • Model gives Vila Nova FC W a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasileiro A2 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 18%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC W Ceara W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs Ceara W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thaynara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ceara W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC W 49 / 100
Ceara W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC W Ceara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova FC W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Ceara W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Ceara W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC W VS Ceara W
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC W

(Home)
10 Oct
Vila Nova FC W
0 : 1
Planalto EC W
19 Sept
Alianca GO W
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
12 Sept
Anapolina W
2 : 2
Vila Nova FC W
05 Sept
Vila Nova FC W
0 : 0
Flugoiania W
08 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
Page 1 of 6

Ceara W

(Away)
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)