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Vila Nova FC W vs Doce Mel W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC W play Doce Mel W in the Brasileiro A2 Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vila Nova FC W averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Doce Mel W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Vila Nova FC W won 0, Doce Mel W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Vila Nova FC W and 1.69 for Doce Mel W. This points to a Vila Nova FC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vila Nova FC W
19%
Draws
34%
Doce Mel W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Vila Nova FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC W picked up more points recently compared to Doce Mel W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 13%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC W Doce Mel W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs Doce Mel W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amanda Gomes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Doce Mel W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jessica
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC W 45 / 100
Doce Mel W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC W Doce Mel W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vila Nova FC W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vila Nova FC W attacking → ← attacking Doce Mel W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova FC W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Doce Mel W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vila Nova FC W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Doce Mel W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 33
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vasco W12111043:834
2Itabirito W12101123:631
3Minas Brasilia W1292128:629
4Atletico-PI W1290329:1027
5Acao W1262415:1320
63B da Amazonia W1145211:817
7Sport Recife W1252513:1417
8Perolas Negras W1244416:1816
9Taubate W1242619:1714
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1242612:2214
11Doce Mel W123459:1813
12Ceara W1131710:1710
13Vila Nova FC W1231812:2710
14Paysandu PA W123189:2410
15Itacoatiara W1211109:294
16UD Alagoana W1211107:284