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Vila Nova FC W vs Rolim de Moura W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Teles A.
33' Event
Teles A.
38' Event
Naytielle

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 game between Vila Nova FC W and Rolim de Moura W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Nova FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vila Nova FC W
39%
Draws
30%
Rolim de Moura W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Nova FC W come out ahead of Rolim de Moura W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 14%
Rolim de Moura W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC W Rolim de Moura W
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs Rolim de Moura W
4:0
May 17, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Rolim de Moura W vs Vila Nova FC W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Teles A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Naytielle
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Rolim de Moura W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC W 31 / 100
Rolim de Moura W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC W Rolim de Moura W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Vila Nova FC W scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Away concern: Rolim de Moura W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Rolim de Moura W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 20 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC W VS Rolim de Moura W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atletico-PI W7
Tuna Luso W2
Ypiranga AP W1
Ceara W2
UD Alagoana W5
Juventude W4
Doce Mel W4
Ipojuca W3
Vila Nova FC W7
Rolim de Moura W2
Galvez W2
Operario MS W4
Perolas Negras W3
Brasil de Farroupilha W1
Coritiba W0
Itabirito W3
Quarter-finals
Atletico-PI W5
Ceara W2
UD Alagoana W1
Doce Mel W2
Vila Nova FC W3
Operario MS W2
Perolas Negras W2
Itabirito W3
Semi-finals
Atletico-PI W6
Doce Mel W1
Vila Nova FC W5
Itabirito W4
Final
Atletico-PI W5
Vila Nova FC W2