Sport Picks

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Vila Nova FC W vs UD Alagoana W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Rodrigues Meira J.

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC W in this Brasileiro A2 Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Nova FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Vila Nova FC W
22%
Draws
18%
UD Alagoana W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vila Nova FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Alagoana W average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Vila Nova FC W's 0.63.
  • Vila Nova FC W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 68%
UD Alagoana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC W UD Alagoana W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs UD Alagoana W
1:0
May 20, 2023 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs UD Alagoana W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues Meira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

UD Alagoana W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC W 68 / 100
UD Alagoana W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC W UD Alagoana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova FC W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

UD Alagoana W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: UD Alagoana W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC W VS UD Alagoana W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC W

(Home)
25 Jul
Vasco W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
30 May
Vila Nova FC W
3 : 2
Taubate W
23 May
3B da Amazonia W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
20 May
Itacoatiara W
2 : 1
Vila Nova FC W
16 May
Vila Nova FC W
0 : 2
Atletico-PI W
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UD Alagoana W

(Away)
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
01 Jun
UD Alagoana W
0 : 2
Acao W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Paysandu PA W
2 : 1
UD Alagoana W
20 May
Itabirito W
3 : 0
UD Alagoana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco W13121046:837
2Itabirito W13111125:634
3Minas Brasilia W13102132:632
4Atletico-PI W1390430:1227
5Acao W1363415:1321
63B da Amazonia W1355316:1020
7Sport Recife W1353513:1418
8Perolas Negras W1345416:1817
9Taubate W1343619:1715
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1342712:2414
11Ceara W1341812:2213
12Doce Mel W1334610:2013
13Paysandu PA W1341811:2513
14Vila Nova FC W1331912:3010
15UD Alagoana W1321109:297
16Itacoatiara W1311119:334
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)