Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vila Real U20 vs Ceara U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Ronald
56' Event
Ronald

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Vila Real U20
30%
Draws
64%
Ceara U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ceara U20 lately — more wins on the board than Vila Real U20.
  • Win probability leans Ceara U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Ceara U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vila Real U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Real U20 Ceara U20
Matches Played 9 34
Wins 2 24
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.78 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Vila Real U20
3:1
Jul 25, 2026 Cearense U20
Vila Real U20 vs Ceara U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Real U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Ceara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronald
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Real U20 26 / 100
Ceara U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Real U20 Ceara U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vila Real U20 scored in 67% of their last 9 outings.

Defensive concern: Ceara U20 conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Vila Real U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vila Real U20 VS Ceara U20
1.67 Goals Scored 2.88
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.5
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Real U20

(Home)
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
25 Jul
Vila Real U20
0 : 2
Ceara U20
18 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
3 : 2
Vila Real U20
04 Jul
Fortaleza U20
2 : 2
Vila Real U20
20 Jun
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 2

Ceara U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
08 Aug
Ceara U20
1 : 1
Tirol U20
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fortaleza U20 4
Ferroviario U20 0
Floresta EC U20 1
Quixada U20 2
Ceara U20 5
Vila Real U20 1
Tirol U20 8
Anjos do Ceu U20 0
Semi-finals
Fortaleza U20 3
Quixada U20 2
Ceara U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Final
Fortaleza U20 0
Ceara U20 0