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Vila Real vs Acopiara Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3
Vila Real Logo

Vila Real

3 - 2
FT
Acopiara Logo

Acopiara

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Davi
47' Event
Vinicius Caninde
59' Event
Vinicius Caninde
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 game between Vila Real and Acopiara finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vila Real
15%
Draws
51%
Acopiara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Acopiara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Real come out ahead of Acopiara on wins alone.
  • Vila Real are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 15%
Acopiara Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Real Acopiara
Matches Played 19 9
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 1.05 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.95 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Cearense 3
Acopiara vs Vila Real
2:1
Aug 22, 2026 Cearense 3
Vila Real vs Acopiara
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Caninde
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Acopiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Davi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Real 35 / 100
Acopiara 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Real Acopiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Vila Real scored in 63% of their last 19 games.

Acopiara has conceded goals in 67% of their last 9 outings.

Vila Real has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vila Real VS Acopiara
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Real

(Home)
27 Sept
Acopiara
2 : 1
Vila Real
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
22 Aug
Vila Real
3 : 2
Acopiara
Page 1 of 4

Acopiara

(Away)
27 Sept
Acopiara
2 : 1
Vila Real
20 Sept
Acopiara
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
13 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
05 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
30 Aug
Acopiara
2 : 1
Tiangua EC
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Acopiara 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Esporte Limoeiro 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
4 Pacatuba 6 2 4 0 8:6 10
5 Calouros do Ar 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
6 Tiangua EC 6 1 1 4 6:10 4
7 Palmacia 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - Cearense 3 (Play Offs)