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Vila Real vs Ceara B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ceara B have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Vila Real have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Ceara B slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2025, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.19, favoring Vila Real. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Vila Real
15%
Draws
40%
Ceara B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Real come out ahead of Ceara B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vila Real's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Vila Real have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 20%
Ceara B Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Real Ceara B
Matches Played 20 9
Wins 9 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Ceara B vs Vila Real
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Real 58 / 100
Ceara B 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Real Ceara B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Vila Real scored in 65% of their last 20 games.

Ceara B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 9 matches.

Recent resilience: Vila Real stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vila Real VS Ceara B
1 Goals Scored 1.14
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Real

(Home)
02 Nov
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Vila Real
27 Sept
Acopiara
2 : 1
Vila Real
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
Page 1 of 4

Ceara B

(Away)
29 Nov
Ceara B
1 : 2
Maracana
17 Nov
Ceara B
2 : 1
Caucaia
05 Nov
Maracana
2 : 0
Ceara B
01 Nov
Tirol
0 : 1
Ceara B
26 Oct
Ceara B
4 : 0
Vila Real
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)