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Vilafranquense vs BSAD

Portugal Portugal

League Cup 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Boni T. In: Pacheco E.
Out: Boni T.
46'
Sub
Lopes T. In: Kikas
Out: Lopes T.
57'
Leo Alaba

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vilafranquense
35%
Draws
35%
BSAD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BSAD lately — more wins on the board than Vilafranquense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • BSAD arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 24%
BSAD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilafranquense BSAD
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs BSAD
1:1
Jan 21, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Vilafranquense
0:3
Dec 11, 2022 League Cup
Vilafranquense vs BSAD
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilafranquense 33 / 100
BSAD 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilafranquense BSAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BSAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vilafranquense scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

BSAD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Vilafranquense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilafranquense VS BSAD
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilafranquense

(Home)
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0
Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0
Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1
Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

BSAD

(Away)
11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1
BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1
Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2
Mafra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Mafra 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Vizela 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
4 Chaves 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Rio Ave 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 SC Farense 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Maritimo 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Benfica 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Estrela da Amadora 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Penafiel 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Braga 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Casa Pia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Pacos Ferreira 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 Trofense 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gil Vicente 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Nacional 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Portimonense 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Covilha 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Vitoria Guimaraes 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 BSAD 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
4 Vilafranquense 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arouca 4 2 2 0 7:3 8
2 Feirense 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
3 Leixoes 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Oliveirense 4 0 2 2 2:6 2
5 Santa Clara 4 0 1 3 6:9 1
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico Viseu 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Torreense 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
3 Famalicao 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
4 Tondela 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
5 Estoril 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)