Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

FC Porto B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vilafranquense play FC Porto B in the Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vilafranquense averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. FC Porto B averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Vilafranquense won 3, FC Porto B won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 26, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Vilafranquense and 1.36 for FC Porto B. This points to a FC Porto B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Vilafranquense

26%

Draws

42%

FC Porto B

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: FC Porto B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Vilafranquense picked up more points recently compared to FC Porto B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 18%

FC Porto B Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vilafranquense	FC Porto B
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	7	16
Draws	12	5
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.03	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Liga Portugal 2

Vilafranquense vs FC Porto B

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Sep 3, 2022 Liga Portugal 2

FC Porto B vs Vilafranquense

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Apr 24, 2022 Liga Portugal 2

FC Porto B vs Vilafranquense

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Dec 12, 2021 Liga Portugal 2

Vilafranquense vs FC Porto B

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Feb 27, 2021 Liga Portugal 2

Vilafranquense vs FC Porto B

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilafranquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Nene

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

FC Porto B Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendel Silva

1 Goals

Assists Leader Correia R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilafranquense 32 / 100

FC Porto B 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vilafranquense FC Porto B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Porto B or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vilafranquense attacking → ← attacking FC Porto B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilafranquense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

FC Porto B let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vilafranquense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Porto B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 53

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moreirense	34	24	7	3	77:38	79
2	SC Farense	34	21	6	7	57:34	69
3	Estrela da Amadora	34	16	15	3	55:35	63
4	Academico Viseu	34	14	11	9	51:45	53
5	FC Porto B	34	14	9	11	48:40	51
6	Mafra	34	12	11	11	46:49	47
7	Vilafranquense	34	12	10	12	42:36	46
8	Feirense	34	11	13	10	43:37	46
9	Torreense	34	13	5	16	38:41	44
10	Oliveirense	34	11	10	13	51:50	43
11	Tondela	34	8	16	10	35:35	40
12	Penafiel	34	9	12	13	36:47	39
13	Nacional	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
14	Benfica B	34	10	8	16	52:58	38
15	Leixoes	34	10	9	15	38:49	38
16	BSAD	34	9	8	17	41:59	35
17	Trofense	34	8	8	18	31:51	32
18	Covilha	34	7	7	20	31:57	28