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Vilafranquense vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

League Cup 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Silva T.
19'
Ceitil A.
35'
Gaspar B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vilafranquense
35%
Draws
32%
Vitoria Guimaraes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vilafranquense haven't matched Vitoria Guimaraes's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilafranquense Vitoria Guimaraes
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2022 League Cup
Vilafranquense vs Vitoria Guimaraes
0:0
Dec 15, 2016 Taça de Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Vilafranquense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilafranquense 32 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilafranquense Vitoria Guimaraes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vilafranquense scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Vilafranquense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria Guimaraes
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilafranquense

(Home)
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0
Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0
Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1
Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Guimaraes

(Away)
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Mafra 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Vizela 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
4 Chaves 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Rio Ave 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 SC Farense 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Maritimo 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Benfica 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Estrela da Amadora 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Penafiel 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Braga 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Casa Pia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Pacos Ferreira 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 Trofense 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gil Vicente 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Nacional 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Portimonense 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Covilha 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Vitoria Guimaraes 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 BSAD 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
4 Vilafranquense 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arouca 4 2 2 0 7:3 8
2 Feirense 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
3 Leixoes 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Oliveirense 4 0 2 2 2:6 2
5 Santa Clara 4 0 1 3 6:9 1
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico Viseu 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Torreense 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
3 Famalicao 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
4 Tondela 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
5 Estoril 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
Promotion - League Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)