Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilar de Perdizes vs Merelinense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vilar de Perdizes
20%
Draws
52%
Merelinense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Merelinense have won more games recently than Vilar de Perdizes.
  • Model gives Merelinense a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Vilar de Perdizes Clean Sheet 16%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilar de Perdizes Merelinense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilar de Perdizes vs Merelinense
1:1
Dec 17, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Vilar de Perdizes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilar de Perdizes 23 / 100
Merelinense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilar de Perdizes Merelinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilar de Perdizes scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Merelinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Vilar de Perdizes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilar de Perdizes VS Merelinense
1 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilar de Perdizes

(Home)
07 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Mar
Camacha
0 : 1
Vilar de Perdizes
17 Mar
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Pevidem
09 Mar
Vilar de Perdizes
3 : 1
SC Mirandela
03 Mar
Dumiense
1 : 0
Vilar de Perdizes
Page 1 of 7

Merelinense

(Away)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)