Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilar de Perdizes vs Ribeirao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Christ Mendy A. N.
83' Event
Samate M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between Vilar de Perdizes and Ribeirao finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilar de Perdizes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Vilar de Perdizes
30%
Draws
16%
Ribeirao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vilar de Perdizes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vilar de Perdizes come out ahead of Ribeirao on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vilar de Perdizes's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vilar de Perdizes Clean Sheet 68%
Ribeirao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilar de Perdizes Ribeirao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.17 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilar de Perdizes vs Ribeirao
2:0
Oct 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ribeirao vs Vilar de Perdizes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilar de Perdizes Compare

Top Goalscorer Christ Mendy A. N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samate M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ribeirao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilar de Perdizes 77 / 100
Ribeirao 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilar de Perdizes Ribeirao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilar de Perdizes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vilar de Perdizes scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ribeirao has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Vilar de Perdizes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Ribeirao has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vilar de Perdizes VS Ribeirao
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilar de Perdizes

(Home)
07 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Mar
Camacha
0 : 1
Vilar de Perdizes
17 Mar
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Pevidem
09 Mar
Vilar de Perdizes
3 : 1
SC Mirandela
03 Mar
Dumiense
1 : 0
Vilar de Perdizes
Page 1 of 6

Ribeirao

(Away)
07 Apr
Ribeirao
1 : 1
AD Limianos
24 Mar
Tirsense
3 : 0
Ribeirao
17 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 1
CDC Montalegre
09 Mar
Brito
4 : 0
Ribeirao
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)