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Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilassar de Mar play Pobla Mafumet in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vilassar de Mar averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Pobla Mafumet averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Vilassar de Mar won 3, Pobla Mafumet won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Vilassar de Mar and 1.00 for Pobla Mafumet. This points to a Vilassar de Mar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Vilassar de Mar
20%
Draws
35%
Pobla Mafumet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vilassar de Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Vilassar de Mar picked up more points recently compared to Pobla Mafumet.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 23%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilassar de Mar Pobla Mafumet
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.94 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Vilassar de Mar
0:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Vilassar de Mar
2:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet
3:1
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Vilassar de Mar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pobla Mafumet Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilassar de Mar 45 / 100
Pobla Mafumet 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilassar de Mar Pobla Mafumet

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vilassar de Mar or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vilassar de Mar attacking → ← attacking Pobla Mafumet

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilassar de Mar scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Pobla Mafumet let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vilassar de Mar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pobla Mafumet lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 31
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olot34247355:2079
2L Hospitalet34223956:2869
3Vilassar de Mar34179841:2760
4CF Badalona341671144:3655
5Prat341312939:3051
6UE Tona341391248:4548
7FC Lescala341461457:5948
8Reus FC Reddis3412101231:2846
9Montanesa341371432:3946
10FE Grama341361541:4745
11Girona B3411111249:4044
12Mollerussa341271533:4643
13San Cristobal CP341341735:5443
14Peralada341191434:3442
15Pobla Mafumet341081631:3938
16FC Vilafranca34891731:5333
17UE Castelldefels34791830:4730
18UE Rapitenca34932236:5130