Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Garcia A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between Vilassar de Mar and Pobla Mafumet finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilassar de Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vilassar de Mar
15%
Draws
57%
Pobla Mafumet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pobla Mafumet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vilassar de Mar come out ahead of Pobla Mafumet on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pobla Mafumet's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vilassar de Mar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 20%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilassar de Mar Pobla Mafumet
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.84 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Vilassar de Mar
0:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Vilassar de Mar
2:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Pobla Mafumet Compare

Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilassar de Mar 24 / 100
Pobla Mafumet 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilassar de Mar Pobla Mafumet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobla Mafumet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pobla Mafumet has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Pobla Mafumet's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Vilassar de Mar found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Vilassar de Mar VS Pobla Mafumet
1 Goals Scored 1.4
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.2
63% Over 1.5 60%
13% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilassar de Mar

(Home)
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
30 Aug
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
Espanyol B
Page 1 of 7

Pobla Mafumet

(Away)
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
12 May
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)