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Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Jarles Baiano
(Penalty)
54' Event
Luiz Henrique
90' Event
Joao Vitor

AI Match Summary

Porto Vitoria in this Copa Espirito Santo matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porto Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vilavelhense
33%
Draws
40%
Porto Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Porto Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Porto Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Vilavelhense.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Porto Vitoria taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Porto Vitoria here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 16%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilavelhense Porto Vitoria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitoria
1:2
Feb 12, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense
5:0
Feb 17, 2025 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitoria
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilavelhense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Porto Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Vitor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilavelhense 28 / 100
Porto Vitoria 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilavelhense Porto Vitoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vilavelhense scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Porto Vitoria conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Vilavelhense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vilavelhense VS Porto Vitoria
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Porto Vitoria751114:516
2Vitoria ES741216:813
3Vilavelhense741210:813
4Rio Branco-VN74126:413
5Rio Branco ES732211:711
6Sport-ES72053:136
7Serra71156:104
8Audax Sao Mateus71152:134