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Vilaverdense FC vs Sao Martinho

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Chico
65' Event
Andrezo D.
(Penalty)
75' Event
Pedras N.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Vilaverdense FC and Sao Martinho finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Martinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Vilaverdense FC
17%
Draws
70%
Sao Martinho
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sao Martinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Martinho come out ahead of Vilaverdense FC on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Sao Martinho taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense FC Sao Martinho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs Vilaverdense FC
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Sao Martinho
1:2
May 8, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Sao Martinho
2:3
Apr 2, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs Vilaverdense FC
2:2
Apr 7, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Sao Martinho
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilaverdense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedras N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Sao Martinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Chico
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense FC 16 / 100
Sao Martinho 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense FC Sao Martinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sao Martinho let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Vilaverdense FC found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Vilaverdense FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilaverdense FC VS Sao Martinho
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilaverdense FC

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
12 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 3
Camacha
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
22 Mar
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 2
Brito
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
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Sao Martinho

(Away)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)