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Vilaverdense W vs Estoril Praia W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estadio Cruz do Reguengo
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nogueira B.
Assist: Barreiros P.
16' Event
Brasero-Carreira S.
Assist: Almeida M.
51'
Nogueira B.

AI Match Summary

Estoril Praia W in this Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estoril Praia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vilaverdense W
6%
Draws
90%
Estoril Praia W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Estoril Praia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Estoril Praia W have won more games recently than Vilaverdense W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Estoril Praia W taking it.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Estoril Praia W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 10%
Estoril Praia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense W Estoril Praia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 1 5
Losses 26 17
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 6.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Estoril Praia W vs Vilaverdense W
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Estoril Praia W
0:4
Apr 13, 2019 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Estoril Praia W
0:4
Nov 25, 2018 Liga BPI Women
Estoril Praia W vs Vilaverdense W
5:0
May 20, 2018 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Estoril Praia W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilaverdense W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Estoril Praia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nogueira B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brasero-Carreira S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense W 10 / 100
Estoril Praia W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense W Estoril Praia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Estoril Praia W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Vilaverdense W scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Estoril Praia W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vilaverdense W VS Estoril Praia W
0 Goals Scored 1
6.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110