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Vildbjerg W vs Varde W

Denmark Denmark

1. Division Women 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vildbjerg W play Varde W in the 1. Division Women 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vildbjerg W averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Varde W averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Vildbjerg W won 1, Varde W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 8, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Vildbjerg W and 1.88 for Varde W. This points to a Varde W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Vildbjerg W
18%
Draws
41%
Varde W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Varde W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Vildbjerg W picked up more points recently compared to Varde W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Vildbjerg W Clean Sheet 10%
Varde W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vildbjerg W Varde W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.1 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 B-Liga Women
Vildbjerg W vs Varde W
4:0
Apr 14, 2024 B-Liga Women
Varde W vs Vildbjerg W
5:2
May 13, 2023 B-Liga Women
Varde W vs Vildbjerg W
0:0
Apr 1, 2023 B-Liga Women
Vildbjerg W vs Varde W
1:2
Nov 19, 2022 B-Liga Women
Varde W vs Vildbjerg W
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vildbjerg W 39 / 100
Varde W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vildbjerg W Varde W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Varde W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vildbjerg W attacking → ← attacking Varde W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vildbjerg W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Varde W let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Vildbjerg W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Varde W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 44
3.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Odense W14121132:737
2Sundby W1472525:1823
3B93 W1464416:922
4Varde W1471628:2322
5ASA Aarhus W1453614:1918
6Dalum/Naesby W1443713:2315
7Vildbjerg W1433811:2912
8Naestved HG W1423914:259