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Vilhena vs Real Ariquemes

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2017
Vilhena Logo

Vilhena

1 - 2
FT
Real Ariquemes Logo

Real Ariquemes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 game between Vilhena and Real Ariquemes finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Ariquemes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vilhena
20%
Draws
40%
Real Ariquemes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vilhena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Ariquemes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Vilhena Clean Sheet 12%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilhena Real Ariquemes
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 4 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.79 0.44
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2024 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Real Ariquemes
0:0
Mar 13, 2024 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhena
0:0
Apr 6, 2018 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Real Ariquemes
2:1
Feb 14, 2018 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhena
4:1
Apr 30, 2017 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilhena 10 / 100
Real Ariquemes 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilhena Real Ariquemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Ariquemes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Ariquemes has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Real Ariquemes has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Vilhena scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vilhena VS Real Ariquemes
1 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilhena

(Home)
29 Aug
Vilhena
1 : 4
Rolim de Moura
22 Aug
Rolim de Moura
5 : 1
Vilhena
30 Mar
Vilhena
3 : 3
Guapore
23 Mar
Vilhena
0 : 3
Barcelona RO
16 Mar
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Vilhena
Page 1 of 6

Real Ariquemes

(Away)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona RO 14 9 3 2 21:9 30
2 Real Ariquemes 14 7 7 0 18:7 28
3 Vilhena 14 6 4 4 18:14 22
4 Genus 14 4 7 3 18:13 19
5 Ariquemes FC 14 3 8 3 23:15 17
6 CA Rondoniense 14 4 5 5 18:20 17
7 Ji-Parana 14 3 3 8 21:25 12
8 Guajara 14 1 1 12 9:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 (Play Offs)