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Vilhena vs Real Ariquemes Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense 2024
Wed, Apr 17, 2024
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilhena host Real Ariquemes in the Rondoniense 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vilhena have averaged 0.79 scored and 2.61 conceded recently, against Real Ariquemes's 0.44 scored and 2.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Real Ariquemes slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.75, favoring Real Ariquemes. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vilhena
20%
Draws
40%
Real Ariquemes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vilhena lately — more wins on the board than Real Ariquemes.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Real Ariquemes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Vilhena Clean Sheet 12%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilhena Real Ariquemes
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 4 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.79 0.44
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2024 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Real Ariquemes
0:0
Mar 13, 2024 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhena
0:0
Apr 6, 2018 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Real Ariquemes
2:1
Feb 14, 2018 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhena
4:1
Apr 30, 2017 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilhena 10 / 100
Real Ariquemes 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilhena Real Ariquemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Ariquemes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Ariquemes conceded in 83% of 18 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Real Ariquemes lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vilhena scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vilhena VS Real Ariquemes
1 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilhena

(Home)
29 Aug
Vilhena
1 : 4
Rolim de Moura
22 Aug
Rolim de Moura
5 : 1
Vilhena
30 Mar
Vilhena
3 : 3
Guapore
23 Mar
Vilhena
0 : 3
Barcelona RO
16 Mar
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Vilhena
Page 1 of 6

Real Ariquemes

(Away)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Velho 10 7 1 2 20:9 22
2 Barcelona RO 10 4 4 2 14:9 16
3 Uniao Cacoalense 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
4 Vilhena 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
5 Ji-Parana 10 3 2 5 6:12 11
6 Genus 10 1 3 6 9:18 6
7 Real Ariquemes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Rondoniense 2024 (Play Offs)