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Viljandi vs Narva Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Bukatkin M.
44' Event
Torop K.
75' Event
Ivanov V.

AI Match Summary

Narva in this Meistriliiga 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Narva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Viljandi
30%
Draws
23%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Viljandi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Narva have won more games recently than Viljandi.
  • Model gives Viljandi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Narva here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Viljandi Clean Sheet 15%
Narva Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viljandi Narva
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Narva
2:5
Jul 31, 2012 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Viljandi
3:1
Jul 28, 2012 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Viljandi
1:1
May 12, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Narva
0:1
Sep 13, 2011 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Viljandi
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viljandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Torop K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Bukatkin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viljandi 35 / 100
Narva 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viljandi Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Narva conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Viljandi's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Narva lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Narva
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Viljandi

(Home)
16 Apr
Tammeka Tartu
:
Viljandi
03 Nov
Viljandi
0 : 5
Sillamae Kalev
27 Oct
Kuressaare
3 : 3
Viljandi
24 Oct
Viljandi
3 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
20 Oct
Viljandi
2 : 5
Narva
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Narva

(Away)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalju 36 29 5 2 106:17 92
2 Levadia 36 25 8 3 85:22 83
3 Flora 36 26 3 7 87:24 81
4 Narva 36 16 7 13 52:44 55
5 Sillamae Kalev 36 15 10 11 51:43 55
6 Paide Linnameeskond 36 11 9 16 34:52 42
7 Kuressaare 36 5 11 20 31:80 26
8 Viljandi 36 6 8 22 33:88 26
9 Tallinna Kalev 36 4 9 23 27:87 21
10 Tammeka Tartu 36 4 8 24 30:79 20
Relegation - Meistriliiga 2012 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)