Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilkmerge Ukmerge vs Atletas FC

Lithuania Lithuania

Division 2 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilkmerge Ukmerge play Atletas FC in the Division 2 2005. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vilkmerge Ukmerge averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.59 conceded. Atletas FC averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Vilkmerge Ukmerge won 1, Atletas FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 16, 2006 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Vilkmerge Ukmerge and 2.06 for Atletas FC. This points to a Atletas FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
22%
Draws
42%
Atletas FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atletas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Vilkmerge Ukmerge picked up more points recently compared to Atletas FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge Clean Sheet 10%
Atletas FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilkmerge Ukmerge Atletas FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2006 I Lyga
Vilkmerge Ukmerge vs Atletas FC
2:1
Jun 10, 2006 I Lyga
Atletas FC vs Vilkmerge Ukmerge
1:0
Aug 18, 2005 I Lyga
Vilkmerge Ukmerge vs Atletas FC
0:2
May 6, 2005 I Lyga
Atletas FC vs Vilkmerge Ukmerge
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilkmerge Ukmerge 34 / 100
Atletas FC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilkmerge Ukmerge Atletas FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletas FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vilkmerge Ukmerge attacking → ← attacking Atletas FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilkmerge Ukmerge scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Atletas FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Vilkmerge Ukmerge went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Atletas FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 30
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00