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Vilkmerge Ukmerge vs Gelezinis Vilkas

Lithuania Lithuania

Division 2 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilkmerge Ukmerge play Gelezinis Vilkas in the Division 2 2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vilkmerge Ukmerge averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3.63 conceded. Gelezinis Vilkas averaged 0.25 goals scored and 3.75 conceded. In past meetings, Vilkmerge Ukmerge won 2, Gelezinis Vilkas won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 29, 2006 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Vilkmerge Ukmerge and 1.94 for Gelezinis Vilkas. This points to a Gelezinis Vilkas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
33%
Draws
27%
Gelezinis Vilkas
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vilkmerge Ukmerge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vilkmerge Ukmerge has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gelezinis Vilkas.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Vilkmerge Ukmerge.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 2006 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge Clean Sheet 10%
Gelezinis Vilkas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilkmerge Ukmerge Gelezinis Vilkas
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.5 0.25
Goals Conceded 3.63 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2006 I Lyga
Vilkmerge Ukmerge vs Gelezinis Vilkas
3:1
Jun 7, 2006 I Lyga
Gelezinis Vilkas vs Vilkmerge Ukmerge
1:0
Oct 9, 2005 I Lyga
Gelezinis Vilkas vs Vilkmerge Ukmerge
0:1
Jul 9, 2005 I Lyga
Vilkmerge Ukmerge vs Gelezinis Vilkas
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilkmerge Ukmerge 38 / 100
Gelezinis Vilkas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilkmerge Ukmerge Gelezinis Vilkas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilkmerge Ukmerge scored in 53% of their last 36 games.

Gelezinis Vilkas let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vilkmerge Ukmerge went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Gelezinis Vilkas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilkmerge Ukmerge VS Gelezinis Vilkas
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
3.63 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%