Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villa Dalmine play Real Pilar in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villa Dalmine averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. Real Pilar averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Villa Dalmine won 0, Real Pilar won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Villa Dalmine and 0.76 for Real Pilar. This points to a Villa Dalmine double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Villa Dalmine
35%
Draws
27%
Real Pilar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villa Dalmine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Dalmine picked up more points recently compared to Real Pilar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Villa Dalmine Clean Sheet 27%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Dalmine Real Pilar
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Dalmine Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Pilar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancini V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Dalmine 40 / 100
Real Pilar 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Dalmine Real Pilar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villa Dalmine or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villa Dalmine attacking → ← attacking Real Pilar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Dalmine scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Real Pilar let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Villa Dalmine went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Pilar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 42
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Excursionistas23136434:1545
2Talleres Remedios Escalada23136426:1045
3Arsenal Sarandi23128333:1744
4Villa Dalmine23127428:1343
5Deportivo Camioneros23118427:1541
6Sportivo Italiano2398623:2035
7Real Pilar2397725:2434
8Deportivo Armenio2395925:2732
9San Martin Burzaco23710623:2031
10Comunicaciones2387826:2531
11Argentino de Merlo2387821:2131
12Laferrere2387825:2931
13Dep. Merlo2387827:3531
14Dock Sud2369824:2227
15Argentino de Quilmes2369824:2527
16CSD Liniers2368916:2326
17Defensores Unidos2359919:2424
18Brown Adrogue23581016:2723
19UAI Urquiza23313712:2022
20Flandria23641318:3022
21Villa San Carlos23491024:3021
22Ituzaingo23161617:419