Sport Picks

Uruguay

Segunda Division 2022 Obdulio Varela

Atenas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villa Espanola play Atenas in the Segunda Division 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villa Espanola averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Atenas averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Villa Espanola won 1, Atenas won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Aug 13, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Villa Espanola and 0.93 for Atenas. This points to a Atenas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Villa Espanola

33%

Draws

42%

Atenas

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Villa Espanola picked up more points recently compared to Atenas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Villa Espanola Clean Sheet 24%

Atenas Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villa Espanola	Atenas
Matches Played	29	38
Wins	8	20
Draws	6	8
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	0.9	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2022 Segunda Division

Villa Espanola vs Atenas

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

May 20, 2022 Segunda Division

Atenas vs Villa Espanola

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

2:3

Apr 16, 2022 Segunda Division

Atenas vs Villa Espanola

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Oct 27, 2020 Segunda Division

Atenas vs Villa Espanola

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sep 1, 2020 Segunda Division

Villa Espanola vs Atenas

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Espanola 27 / 100

Atenas 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villa Espanola Atenas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atenas or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villa Espanola attacking → ← attacking Atenas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Espanola scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Atenas let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Villa Espanola went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atenas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 68

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	27	17	6	4	40:18	57
2	La Luz	27	14	9	4	35:23	51
3	Uruguay Montevideo FC	27	13	5	9	35:29	44
4	CA Cerro	27	11	8	8	31:30	41
5	Miramar	27	10	10	7	38:32	40
6	Rampla Juniors	27	10	5	12	32:31	35
7	Sud America	27	9	6	12	27:38	33
8	Atenas	27	8	8	11	24:25	32
9	Progreso	27	7	10	10	23:27	31
10	Juventud	27	6	9	12	19:28	27
11	Villa Espanola	27	7	6	14	27:37	27
12	Central Esp.	27	4	10	13	22:35	22