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Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio El Fortin, Bahía Blanca
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Villa Mitre at 0.79 goals for, 0.57 against; Costa Brava at 0.9 for, 0.83 against. Past meetings favor Costa Brava slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.06) point toward Costa Brava. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Villa Mitre
35%
Draws
41%
Costa Brava
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Costa Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Villa Mitre have won more games recently than Costa Brava.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Villa Mitre taking it.
  • Villa Mitre have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Villa Mitre Clean Sheet 20%
Costa Brava Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Mitre Costa Brava
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 13 13
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 0.79 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Mitre 42 / 100
Costa Brava 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Mitre Costa Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Brava has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Villa Mitre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Villa Mitre scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Villa Mitre VS Costa Brava
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Mitre

(Home)
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Kimberley
13 Sept
Argentino MM
1 : 0
Villa Mitre
30 Aug
Villa Mitre
3 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
22 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 0
Villa Mitre
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Alvarado
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Costa Brava

(Away)
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0
Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3
Costa Brava
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 2
Juventud U.U.
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1
Costa Brava
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
Gimnasia Chivilcoy -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras 0
Juventud Antoniana 3
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM 2
San Martin Mendoza 0
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
Sol de America -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
Biblioteca Atenas -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -