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Villa Mitre vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio El Fortin
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Coacci E.
34'
Ferreyra M.
38'
Sub
Manchafico V. In: Cepeda G.
Out: Manchafico V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Torneo Federal 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Villa Mitre
17%
Draws
13%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Villa Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpo Bahia Blanca lately — more wins on the board than Villa Mitre.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Villa Mitre taking it.
  • Regular Torneo Federal 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.4%
Villa Mitre Clean Sheet 68%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Mitre Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre
0:0
May 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:1
Jun 1, 2025 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Iriarte L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Vivas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Mitre 77 / 100
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Mitre Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Mitre went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Villa Mitre found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Olimpo Bahia Blanca let in goals in 39% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Villa Mitre VS Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Bolivar852111:517
2Argentino MM850313:915
3Olimpo Bahia Blanca84317:415
4Deportivo Rincon83236:711
5Biblioteca Atenas81613:39
6Costa Brava82338:99
7Villa Mitre82333:59
8Cipolletti81344:76
9Kimberley81255:115
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano851214:1016
2Atl. Rafaela85129:616
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy842211:614
4San Martin Formosa842210:714
5Sarmiento de La Banda84137:1113
69 de Julio Rafaela82427:710
7Juventud Antoniana82338:89
8Independiente Chivilcoy81348:116
9Douglas Haig80173:111