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Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Adiel
13' Event
Leo Cereja
90' Event
Matheus Batista

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 game between Villa Nova AC and Democrata SL finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Nova AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Villa Nova AC
28%
Draws
22%
Democrata SL
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Villa Nova AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Democrata SL come out ahead of Villa Nova AC on wins alone.
  • Villa Nova AC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Villa Nova AC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 68%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Nova AC Democrata SL
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL
2:1
Feb 4, 2023 Mineiro
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
0:1
Jul 17, 2021 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL
2:1
Feb 28, 2008 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Nova AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Adiel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Batista
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Democrata SL Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Cereja
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Nova AC 59 / 100
Democrata SL 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Nova AC Democrata SL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Nova AC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Democrata SL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Villa Nova AC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Nova AC VS Democrata SL
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberaba1072117:923
2Boa1052312:917
3Mamore103348:912
4Patrocinense103349:912
5Guarani-MG1033412:1412
6Caldense101366:146
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Valeriodoce105509:420
2Democrata SL1052319:1017
3Aymores1044217:916
4Villa Nova AC1042417:1214
5Coimbra Esporte Clube1024412:1210
6Ipatinga101186:33-2