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Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes, Nova Lima
Villa Nova AC Logo

Villa Nova AC

0 - 1
FT
Democrata SL Logo

Democrata SL

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pereira R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Villa Nova AC
15%
Draws
46%
Democrata SL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Democrata SL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Democrata SL have won more games recently than Villa Nova AC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Democrata SL arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Democrata SL, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 16%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Nova AC Democrata SL
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
1:3
Aug 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL
0:1
Jun 24, 2026 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL
2:1
Feb 4, 2023 Mineiro
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Nova AC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Democrata SL Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Nova AC 36 / 100
Democrata SL 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Nova AC Democrata SL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Democrata SL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Villa Nova AC scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Democrata SL conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Villa Nova AC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Nova AC VS Democrata SL
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Nova AC

(Home)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Aymores
3 : 3
Villa Nova AC
02 Aug
Villa Nova AC
1 : 0
Aymores
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
Page 1 of 6

Democrata SL

(Away)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba 1
Mamore 2
Democrata SL 6
Patrocinense 2
Valeriodoce 1
Villa Nova AC 2
Boa 1
Aymores 3
Semi-finals
Mamore 2
Democrata SL 5
Villa Nova AC 4
Aymores 3
Final
Democrata SL 2
Villa Nova AC 3