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Villa Real vs Guarani-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guarani-MG in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani-MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Villa Real
11%
Draws
80%
Guarani-MG
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani-MG have won more games recently than Villa Real.
  • Guarani-MG are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guarani-MG have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Real Guarani-MG
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Villa Real
4:0
Sep 8, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Guarani-MG
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Guarani-MG
0:2
Sep 23, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Villa Real
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Real 12 / 100
Guarani-MG 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Real Guarani-MG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani-MG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Villa Real remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Villa Real's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guarani-MG
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163