Sport Picks

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Villa Real vs Nacional Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 3 2022 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Villa Real
30%
Draws
29%
Nacional Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Villa Real have won more games recently than Nacional Uberaba.
  • Win probability leans Nacional Uberaba's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Villa Real have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 12%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Real Nacional Uberaba
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2022 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0
Sep 24, 2022 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Villa Real
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Real 22 / 100
Nacional Uberaba 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Real Nacional Uberaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Uberaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Uberaba has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Villa Real remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Villa Real's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Villa Real VS Nacional Uberaba
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Real

(Home)
19 Oct
Villa Real
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
14 Oct
Guarani-MG
4 : 0
Villa Real
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Tupynambas
6 : 0
Villa Real
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Nacional Uberaba

(Away)
11 Oct
Juventus Minasnovense
2 : 2
Nacional Uberaba
06 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Passos
20 Sept
Essube
3 : 1
Nacional Uberaba
07 Sept
Boa
2 : 0
Nacional Uberaba
01 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Paracatu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tres Coracoes 0
America TO 5
TBD -
Valeriodoce -
Santarritense 2
Novo Esporte 5
TBD -
North Esporte Clube -
Nacional Uberaba 0
Villa Real 2
TBD -
Itabirito -
Mamore 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
TBD -
Araxa -
Quarter-finals
America TO 1
Valeriodoce 1
Novo Esporte 2
North Esporte Clube 3
Villa Real 1
Itabirito 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 2
Araxa 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 0
North Esporte Clube 1
Itabirito 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube 5
Final
North Esporte Clube 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1