Sport Picks
Villa San Carlos vs Arsenal Sarandi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Genacio Salice Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
34'
34'
Sub
Kestler I. In: Franco L.
Out: Kestler I.
39'
39'
Canete S.
65'
65'
Brienzo N.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Villa San Carlos and Arsenal Sarandi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa San Carlos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arsenal Sarandi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arsenal Sarandi come out ahead of Villa San Carlos on wins alone.
- Villa San Carlos are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villa San Carlos | Arsenal Sarandi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Arsenal Sarandi
1:0
May 22, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Villa San Carlos
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villa San Carlos Compare
Top Goalscorer Machin L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Arsenal Sarandi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villa San Carlos 36 / 100
Arsenal Sarandi 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villa San Carlos Arsenal Sarandi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Villa San Carlos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Villa San Carlos scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Arsenal Sarandi let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Villa San Carlos VS Arsenal Sarandi
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Villa San Carlos
(Home) 09 Oct
Excursionistas
4 : 0 Villa San Carlos
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Villa San Carlos
20 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0 Talleres Remedios Escalada
12 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 1 Villa San Carlos
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
20 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0 Talleres Remedios Escalada
06 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
25 Aug
Villa San Carlos
3 : 2 Flandria
16 Aug
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0 Defensores Unidos
Page 1 of 3
Arsenal Sarandi
(Away) 03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 CSD Liniers
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 UAI Urquiza
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
22 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
09 Aug
Laferrere
1 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 63:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50:25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 41:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38:23 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 44:30 | 64 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42:38 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39:34 | 55 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39:41 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 37:43 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:39 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31:39 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25:62 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
