Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Marino

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Garcia Y.
59' Event
Gil A.
90' Event
Barcia C.

AI Match Summary

Villa Santa Brigida in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Santa Brigida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Villa Santa Brigida
20%
Draws
29%
CD Marino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa Santa Brigida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villa Santa Brigida lately — more wins on the board than CD Marino.
  • Win probability leans Villa Santa Brigida's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 20%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Santa Brigida CD Marino
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 14
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Marino
3:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Marino
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Santa Brigida Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gil A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

CD Marino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Santa Brigida 85 / 100
CD Marino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Santa Brigida CD Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Santa Brigida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Santa Brigida scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

CD Marino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Villa Santa Brigida stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Santa Brigida VS CD Marino
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Santa Brigida

(Home)
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0
Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0
Anaza
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
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CD Marino

(Away)
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)