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AI Match Summary
Villa Santa Brigida host UD San Fernando in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. UD San Fernando have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Villa Santa Brigida have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor UD San Fernando slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.63) back UD San Fernando to edge this. UD San Fernando in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD San Fernando has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Villa Santa Brigida.
- Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Villa Santa Brigida.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villa Santa Brigida | UD San Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villa Santa Brigida Compare
UD San Fernando Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villa Santa Brigida scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
UD San Fernando let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Villa Santa Brigida went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
UD San Fernando lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |