Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Santa Brigida vs UD San Fernando

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Edu Salles
75' Event
Gil A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Villa Santa Brigida host UD San Fernando in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. UD San Fernando have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Villa Santa Brigida have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor UD San Fernando slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.63) back UD San Fernando to edge this. UD San Fernando in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Villa Santa Brigida
30%
Draws
34%
UD San Fernando
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Santa Brigida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • UD San Fernando has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Villa Santa Brigida.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Villa Santa Brigida.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 14%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Santa Brigida UD San Fernando
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs UD San Fernando
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:0
Nov 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs UD San Fernando
0:2
May 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Villa Santa Brigida
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Santa Brigida Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UD San Fernando Compare

Top Goalscorer Edu Salles
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Santa Brigida 35 / 100
UD San Fernando 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Santa Brigida UD San Fernando

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Santa Brigida scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

UD San Fernando let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Villa Santa Brigida went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

UD San Fernando lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Santa Brigida VS UD San Fernando
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125