Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Santa Brigida vs Union Sur Yaiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Romero Jerez F. J.
55' Event
Szczesnowicz L.
90' Event
Gil A.

AI Match Summary

Villa Santa Brigida host Union Sur Yaiza in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Villa Santa Brigida have averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Union Sur Yaiza's 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Villa Santa Brigida have won 1 to Union Sur Yaiza's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.38) point toward Villa Santa Brigida. Villa Santa Brigida in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Villa Santa Brigida
39%
Draws
30%
Union Sur Yaiza
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Santa Brigida has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Union Sur Yaiza.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 17%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Santa Brigida Union Sur Yaiza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Union Sur Yaiza
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Villa Santa Brigida
3:1
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Villa Santa Brigida
3:2
Sep 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:1
Jan 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Santa Brigida Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero Jerez F. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gil A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Union Sur Yaiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Szczesnowicz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Santa Brigida 31 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Santa Brigida Union Sur Yaiza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Santa Brigida scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Union Sur Yaiza let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Villa Santa Brigida went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Union Sur Yaiza lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Santa Brigida VS Union Sur Yaiza
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125