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Villa Teresa vs Rocha

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Santurio A.
57' Event
Coccaro D.
64' Event
Torres A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Villa Teresa
20%
Draws
34%
Rocha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa Teresa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Rocha have won more games recently than Villa Teresa.
  • Model gives Villa Teresa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Villa Teresa Clean Sheet 68%
Rocha Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Teresa Rocha
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.73 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2021 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Villa Teresa
1:1
Jul 1, 2021 Segunda Division
Villa Teresa vs Rocha
2:2
Nov 3, 2020 Segunda Division
Villa Teresa vs Rocha
0:0
Sep 7, 2020 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Villa Teresa
1:2
Apr 8, 2015 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Villa Teresa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Teresa Compare

Top Goalscorer Santurio A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coccaro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Teresa 68 / 100
Rocha 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Teresa Rocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Teresa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rocha has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Villa Teresa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Rocha has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villa Teresa VS Rocha
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Teresa

(Home)
11 Dec
La Luz
4 : 1
Villa Teresa
06 Dec
Villa Teresa
2 : 0
La Luz
24 Nov
Villa Teresa
1 : 1
Albion
17 Nov
Villa Teresa
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
09 Nov
Atenas
0 : 1
Villa Teresa
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Rocha

(Away)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
:
Rocha
23 Aug
Rocha
0 : 3
Rentistas
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1
Huracan Buceo
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0
Paso de la Arena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 22 13 5 4 31:18 44
2 Danubio 22 12 5 5 24:14 41
3 Racing Montevideo 22 10 8 4 27:16 38
4 Defensor Sp. 22 11 4 7 33:21 37
5 CA Cerro 22 10 7 5 26:20 37
6 Central Esp. 22 9 6 7 29:29 33
7 Juventud 22 8 5 9 27:27 29
8 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 7 4 11 21:27 25
9 Atenas 22 5 9 8 20:17 24
10 Rampla Juniors 22 5 6 11 14:32 21
11 Villa Teresa 22 4 6 12 17:32 18
12 Rocha 22 4 3 15 20:36 15
Promotion - Primera Division 2022 (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2021 (Play Offs)