Sport Picks

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Villa vs Maroons

Uganda Uganda

Premier League FUFA Kadiba Stadium, Kampala
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ssebuufu F.
90' Event
Otim A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Villa and Maroons finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Villa
20%
Draws
24%
Maroons
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Villa taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Villa Clean Sheet 68%
Maroons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Maroons
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Uganda Cup
Villa vs Maroons
1:0
Feb 19, 2026 Premier League
Villa vs Maroons
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Maroons vs Villa
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Villa vs Maroons
0:2
Oct 24, 2024 Premier League
Maroons vs Villa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ssebuufu F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otim A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Maroons Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa 95 / 100
Maroons 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Maroons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Villa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Maroons conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Villa VS Maroons
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa

(Home)
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
23 May
Villa
2 : 1
UPDF FC
20 May
NEC FC
1 : 4
Villa
16 May
Villa
1 : 0
Uganda Revenue
13 May
Mbarara City
1 : 3
Villa
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Maroons

(Away)
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
19 May
Maroons
0 : 3
Vipers
12 May
Maroons
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
07 May
Kampala City
3 : 0
Maroons
28 Apr
Uganda Revenue
2 : 2
Maroons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)