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Villa Valle vs Breno Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Semprini M.
51' Event
Ravasi R.
74' Event
Semprini M.

AI Match Summary

Villa Valle in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Valle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Villa Valle
35%
Draws
30%
Breno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Breno haven't matched Villa Valle's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 20%
Breno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Valle Breno
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.18 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Villa Valle
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Breno
4:0
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Breno
1:2
Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Villa Valle
1:2
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Villa Valle
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Semprini M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ravasi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Breno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Valle 31 / 100
Breno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Valle Breno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Villa Valle scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Villa Valle has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villa Valle VS Breno
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Valle

(Home)
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6

Breno

(Away)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)