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Villacarrillo vs Guadix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Villacarrillo and Guadix finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Villacarrillo
15%
Draws
21%
Guadix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villacarrillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villacarrillo come out ahead of Guadix on wins alone.
  • Villacarrillo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Guadix have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Villacarrillo Clean Sheet 20%
Guadix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villacarrillo Guadix
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 7 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.26 1.06
Goals Conceded 2 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Guadix
6:3
Dec 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Villacarrillo
3:1
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Guadix
2:4
Sep 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Villacarrillo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villacarrillo 85 / 100
Guadix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villacarrillo Guadix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villacarrillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Villacarrillo scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Guadix's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guadix
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villacarrillo

(Home)
13 May
Villacarrillo
6 : 3
Guadix
06 May
Velez
4 : 0
Villacarrillo
29 Apr
Villacarrillo
0 : 3
Linares
22 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Villacarrillo
15 Apr
Villacarrillo
2 : 3
Loja
Page 1 of 7

Guadix

(Away)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)